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  System for 2014-15 Jumps season  
       
  August 2014:  The free system featured on this website is an established way of trying to win the popular Totepool/Racing Post Ten To Follow competition over the Jumps.  The system was previously posted online by the original inventors (Capital Ratings) from 2001 until 2012 when they retired.  Each season since then, their system has been at this new home-page instead.

There is a brief description of the system just below this note - and more information at the very bottom of this page.  If you have no past experience of the system, you can see how it performed in previous seasons by following the blue links above.  The big table  >>
   below is the shortlist-template, the core component of the system.  The names of the system's 32 qualifying horses are progressively added to col 3 in the table - prior to the list being finalised in early November 2014.  Alternatively, there is a downloadable blank version of the table which can be filled in by users on their own computer screens to mix the horses with ones of their own choice - blank template.

To perm lines of ten horses from the shortlist, start with brown note PN6 in col 3 and take it from there.  For how to enter lines of ten horses in the Jumps TTF competition in November, see footnote 3.
 
 
         
  About the system:  The competition's daunting master list of 400 horses is automatically reduced to just 32 horses max by the purple rules in col 4 below.  The qualifiers' names go in col 3.  The names are divided into five subgroups to aid economic perming and ensure efficient structuring of every line entered.  The horses shortlisted are permed into lines of ten using the  >>   brown rules in col 3.  Further rules are contained in the table, or are accessed by blue links in the table.  Year after year, the resultant shortlists have contained ample horses needed to win big prizes in the competition.  Being able to disregard the 368 horses not in the shortlist is potentially a major strategic advantage for all users of the system.  

  Col 2 Col 3 (The shortlist) Col 4
Sel
Nos
Categories
(Type of Jumper)
Enter upto 32 horses' names in the 36 spaces provided
Brown text in col 3 = perming instructions.
Rules for picking horses to go in column 3 each November
  Col 2 rule Col 3 rule  

1,
2,

2m Hrdlrs - Chmpn Hdl types.

Up to 4 sels rqd in this category.

4-6yo's preferred age.
Perming Notes...
Read note PN6 first, then come back to this initial note PN1.


PN1  When entering the TTF in November, for each line of ten, choose any two horses from the first four rows below, then proceed down to brown notes PN2, PN3, etc.

    No.    Name        Age   Trainer
0 1623  HorseName 5      Pipe (a specimen row)
1 1xxx  The New One 6  Twiston-Davies
2 1xxx  Jezki 6  Ir/Harrington
3 1xxx 
4 1xxx  
Each November, go to www.oddschecker.com, in their Ante-Post section use their latest possible betting grid for the next Champion Hurdle to pick 4 quality, fancied, 2m-hurdle types to go in the block left.  If you don't fancy four leave a blank row where the bypassed horse would have been.  More hurdlers, of any type, may be entered in the bottom Misc section.  Where to find the betting grids - see footnote 4.

3,
4,

Up to 8 sels rqd for this 3-part sctn.

2m Chsrs - Qn Mother Chase types.

5-8yo preferred.
PN2 ...take any two from the eight rows below, including the empty w/c row pro-rata, then continue to PN3...

1 1xxx  Sprinter Sacre 8  Henderson
2 xxxx  Sire de Grugy 7  Moore
5 1xxx 
8 1xxx 
In November, use oddschecker's latest ante-post grid for the Queen Mother Chase to pick four quality, fancied, 2m-chase types for the block left.  If you don't fancy four leave a blank row where the bypassed horse would have been.
** See Wildcard rule.
  2m Nov Chasers - Arkle Trophy types.
5-8yo preferred.
3 1xxx 
6 1xxx 
In November, use oddschecker's latest ante-post grids for the Arkle and RSA Chase to pick 2 pairs of quality, fancied, novice chasers for the blocks left.  Additional NCs may be considered for the bottom Misc section.
  3m Nov Chasers - 3m RSA types.
5-9yo preferred.
4 1xxx 
7 1xxx 

5,

2½m Hcp Chsrs - Paddy Power types.

Up to 4 sels rqd for this block.

5-9yo preferred.

This block's sel or w/c2 = Star Horse double Tote odds.
PN3 ...take any one from the four rows below, including the empty w/c row pro-rata, then continue down to PN4...

1 1xxx 
2 1xxx  
3 1xxx 
4 1xxx

# Each line's sel or w/c2 from this PPGC group scores Star Horse pts for the purpose of monitoring system performance.
In November, for the block left, pick the first four from the latest possible oddschecker ante-post grid for the Paddy Power GC - subject to...
PPGC & Ryanair rule,
Star Horse rule and
Late Entries rule.

* See Wildcard rule.

6,
7,
8,
Up to 12 sels rqd for this 3-part sctn.

3m Chsrs - King George VI Chase types.

5-10yo preferred.
PN4 ...take any three from the twelve rows below, including the empty w/c row pro-rata, then continue to PN5...

1 1xxx  w/c** (linked with Silviniaco Conti in GC block)
4 1xxx  Simonsig 8  Henderson [20.12.13 off with leg injry]
7 1xxx  Cue Card 8  Tizzard [6.3.14 off with pelvis frctr]
9 1xxx
King George, Chelt Gold Cup and Hennessy types.  In November, home-in on the first four or so horses in oddschecker's latest ante-post grids, for each of those three races, to fill the three blocks left.  If you do not fancy as many as four of the contenders for any of the three blocks, leave one or two blank rows somewhere.  It often happens one or more of these horses will qualify for more than one block - when that occurs, one of the duplications must be left blank (to be used as a 'linked wildcard' opportunity).

** See 3m+ Chasers rule.
** See Linked Wildcard rule.
  3¼m Chsrs - Chelt Gold Cup types.

5-10yo preferred.
2 1xxx  Bobs Worth 9  Henderson
5 1xxx  Silviniaco Conti 8  Nicholls
8 1xxx  Champagne Fever 7  Ir/Mullins
10 1xxx 

3¼m Hcp Chsrs - Hennessy GC types.

5-10yo preferred.
3 1xxx 
6 1xxx  
11 1xxx 
12 1xxx  

9,
10.

Misc.


Up to 8 sels rqd for this two-block sctn.

NH pref 4-6yo
SH pref 5-7yo
NC pref 5-8yo
SC pref 6-11yo


 
PN5 ...take any two from the final eight rows below, including the empty w/c row pro-rata, then continue down to final note PN6...

1 1xxx  More Of That ?H
2 1xxx  Dynaste 8C  Pipe
3 1xxx 
4 1xxx 

5 1xxx 
6  
7 1xxx 
8 1xxx

Also see GN rule and Betting rule.
In November, use oddschecker's latest ante-post grid for the World Hurdle for a quality staying hurdler to go at position 1.  If you fancy a second SH, put it in posn. 5.  Leaving a blank row in the Misc section is good strategy.  For the other Misc sels, see the Misc Sctn rule.  Leave at least four blank rows overall so as to give 32 named sels. max.  Put names in the blank rows only after perming the blanks pro-rata into your lines, as a final, line fine-tuning step.

* See Wildcard rule.
PN6 ...it is recommended, in your first four lines, that you include all 32 named horses from the above shortlist.  Put a different 8 names in each of those first four lines, leaving two scattered blanks in each of those four lines for later wildcard fine-tuning.  By so covering every horse at least once, that will guarantee you the interest of at least one runner in virtually every key race right through the season and will also guarantee you will have every single scoring horse from the shortlist at least once somewhere in your overall entry.  To fill the two wildcard blanks in each of those first four lines, pull in two desirable horses from the other 24 named horses not in the line in question.  In each of those first four lines, mix stronger horses with more speculative horses - don't go all strong in two lines and all weak in the other two - or it's 40 down the drain straight away as half the most-hyped horses from last season always fail to deliver the following season.  Then, for your lines 5, 6, 7 etc., start at note PN1 each time and start picking fresh lines of ten differing horses.  In these further lines, start whittling out your personal lesser fancies so as to pull in more of your personal stronger fancies, along with some obligatory pro-rata blanks.  Finally, as a very last step, start to fill in all those wildcard blanks in your lines, still using only horses from somewhere in the 32-horse shortlist, so as to fine-tune all lines with blanks in them, in accordance with the Wildcard rule.  Also check out Footnote 5 at the end of this page.

Disclaimer   Read more on perming.
Acknowledgement:  This system for the TTF competition was invented by Capital Ratings.

Key to abbreviations possibly used in the above table:-

a = Aintree result (except if n = ran in Grand National)    c = Cheltenham result at this season's Festival    C = Chaser    col = column    f = favourite   GC = Gold Cup    H = Hurdle or Hurdlerr    m = mare    K = knuckled on landing (as opposed to falling)    n = result in Grand National    NC = Novice Chaser    NH = Novice Hurdler    prob = probably    SC = Staying Chaser    Sel = selection    SH = Staying Hurdler    Trnr = trainer    yo = years old at start of season    in red = any November remarks against a horse in col 3 in red are a definite negative for the competition generally speaking, but not an automatic bar to using the horse concerned in entries.


A good, rule-compliant line from the above shortlist was as below...
 
Type Best ten system horses    Pts  
2m hurdlers  (2 sels per line)   0.0
  0.0
QM, Arkle & RSA Chase types or w/c1  (2 sels per line)   0.0
  0.0
Paddy Power sel or w/c2  (1 sel per line).  This block's sel or w/c gets Star Horse points   0.0
3m+ chasers or w/c3  (3 sels per line)   0.0
  0.0
  0.0
Misc e.g. NH, NC, SH, SC, or w/c4  (2 sels per line)   0.0
  0.0
  Points for above ten horses currently = 0.0
TTF leader's score at same stage = 0.0
  10th place score = 0.0

Running Comments (latest first) Back to top
23.11.14 - xxx pts - Running comments on the progress of the TTF competition and the performance of the system will start to appear here after the running of the Hennessy Gold Cup at the end of November.


Footnotes
How to use Capital Ratings' System for the Ten To Follow Competition
1.  Users of the system can either take the true system qualifiers straight from the table above or they can start off with a blank template and type in horses' names on their own computer screens.  The blank template is exactly the same as the main table shown above - but without any horses' names in it.  Download blank template now for use in this or future seasons.  After unzipping the download, read the included 'info.txt' file first.
2.  In the downloaded blank template, write or type the names of not more than 32 horses in the 36 spaces available in column 3.  Horses for the blank template should be selected by adhering as far as possible to the rules in purple text in column 4.  These rules ensure all followers will start off with the same base selections to quite a high degree.  The purple rules in col 4 are practically identical to Capital Ratings' original selection rules (just the odd update here and there).
3.  You can enter the Ten To Follow competition by post or online.  To enter by post, use the postal entry forms which are printed in the Racing Post on several days a week from about the third week in October each week.  Postal entries cost 12 a line.  Postal entries were brought back by popular demand from 2013-14.  To enter online, go to www.tentofollow.com.  Online entries cost 10 per line.  The first two weeks in November each year form a hectic but fun two-week window for finalising lines and entering them.
4.  The system obtains its qualifiers each November from the very purposeful ante-post betting grids at oddschecker.com.  To locate their grids, go to www.oddschecker.com, look down the left hand side of the first page for a link labelled "Horse Racing" and click-it, at the new page scroll down until reaching, on the left hand side, a heading "Ante-Post Racing", just beneath that click either "National Hunt" or "Cheltenham Festival", then click the All Odds buttons to see the price grids for the system's key races.  The 'National Hunt' link gives access, in early November, to betting grids for three bonus-point races, namely the Paddy Power Gold Cup, Hennessy Gold Cup and the King George.  The 'Cheltenham Festival' link gives access to price-grids for another seven bonus-point races, namely the Arkle NC, Champion Hurdle,  RSA NC, Champion Chase, Ryanair Chase, World Hurdle and Gold Cup, plus grids for all the other, non-bonus 25-point Festival races.  In the grids, concentrate on the leading horses with the shortest averaged prices, ignoring any odd-looking betting-exchange prices down the right hand side of each grid.  Just occasionally, it may look as though a grid has listed a couple of horses in the wrong order in the grid based on the prices on offer.  If that happens, work out the precise averaged-price for both horses to determine their proper pecking order in the grid.  Most grids will be pretty stable in the week before the deadline for entering the TTF but the odd couple of grids might be quite volatile, especially the grids for the Paddy Power Gold Cup and the Hennessy Gold Cup - so leave making the choices from any volatile grids as late as is practicable.
5.  System users should enter multiple lines of ten, at least a dozen lines, to ensure a reasonable amount of interest through the whole season.  The tens should be picked in accordance with brown perming-note PN6 in column 3 in the shortlist.  Forget about looking outside of the shortlist for a possible 'dark horse' that nobody else will have.  There is almost never any need to think outside the box in this competition in order to win it.  Instead, work on the assumption that the shortlist will contain multiple rule-compliant winning lines in there somewhere - and concentrate all your skill and judgement on trying to perm one of those all-conquering lines from the shortlist into your entry.  No absolute guarantee, of course, that there always will be any winning lines in the shortlist but the system was terribly consistent over a span of 14 seasons when posted annually by its inventors, Capital Ratings - and it has continued that trend in equally strong fashion at this new home.



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